Islamic Capital Markets and Investment Banking: The Definitive Guide
Table of Contents
- The economic crisis and Islamic finance
- Liquidity and maturity mismatches
- Causes and effects of the liquidity crunch
- Investment shift to Islamic finance
- Market size and growth potential
- Product development opportunities
- Supply-side factors
- Debt capital markets
- Asset management
- Private equity
- Islamic derivatives
- Treasury and interbank operations
- Dataset and analysis
- Key research findings
Section 1: Market size and scope
Chapter 1 Individual private wealth
- The high net worth, ultra high net worth and mass affluent segment
- The mass retail finance segment
- Islamic banking penetration and growth rates
- Country potential varies
- Malaysia and Iran show potential
- Growth presents sell-side opportunities
- Awqaf and endowments
Chapter 2 Corporate finance
- Growth of conventional and Islamic financing
- The GCC and Malaysia hubs
- Islamic corporate finance growth predictions
- Growth of sukuk capital markets
Chapter 3 Islamic financial institutions
- Treasury requirements
- The liquidity crisis
- Profit rate mismatches and the need for profit rate derivatives
- Foreign exchange market potential
- Takaful/Islamic insurance institutions opportunities
Chapter 4 Key sell-side factors for market development
- Proactive regulatory infrastructure
- Central Bank of Bahrain
- Bank Negara Malaysia
- The UK
- Market depth and volume
- Information exchange and transaction execution platform
- Cross-border standardization
- Sukuk (beyond the current AAOIFI standard)
- Common FX options and swap transactions
Chapter 5 Islamic finance 2.0: no longer a myth
By Rushdi Siddiqui, Global Head of Islamic Finance, Thomson Reuters
- Intelligent information and connectivity
- A global information platform
- The Islamic Indices Gateway
- Islamic ‘LIBOR’
- Moving forward with supply opportunities
Chapter 6 Is there an alternative to LIBOR?
- The LIBOR debate
- Islamic alternatives to LIBOR
- Enterprise returns
- Retail deposits
- Natural yields
- Correlating benchmarks
- Incentives and regulation for an independent benchmark
- Conclusion
Section 2: Islamic debt capital markets
Chapter 7 Sukuk market overview
- Key sukuk structures
- Salam sukuk
- Ijarah sukuk
- Istisna’a sukuk
- Musharaka sukuk
- Mudarabah sukuk
- Debt capital markets overview
- Sukuk defaults
- Macro growth projections and correlation to oil prices
- Growth in issuance
- Growth drivers
- CMA improves secondary trading options
- Collapse of regional stock markets
- Access to capital for corporates and project finance
- Demand from quasi-sovereign and sovereign entities
- Pent-up demand from international investors
- Tightening spreads and easing liquidity
- Strong issues pipeline
- European and Asian sovereigns tap Middle East liquidity
- Short-term and long-term challenges
- Blacklisting of Kuwaiti credits
- Real estate downturn and lower hydrocarbon prices
- The availability of credit in Saudi Arabia
- Long-term challenges
- High overhead costs
- The difference in Malaysia
- Structuring and documentation standardisation issues
- Asset-backed vs. project-backed vs. asset-based
- The role of standard setters
Chapter 8 Future trends in sukuk
- Sukuk funds and the financial crisis
- Asset substitution risk and buy-and-hold mentality
- Short-term sukuk will be the order of the day
- The effect of the AAOIFI sukuk pronouncement
- Dubai Inc and corporates require a discriminatory approach
- Default of the Nakheel sukuk
- Structure of the Nakheel sukuk
- The importance of rated issues
- Understanding sukuk default behaviour
- Towards synthetic structures and intangibles
- The future of sukuk structures
- Case study: Anatomy of a sukuk default: East Cameron Partners
- Implications of the case
- Sukuk bookrunner/lead arranger league tables
Chapter 9 Syndicated financing: opportunities and challenges
- Background
- Growth of Islamic syndicated financing
- Sources of liquidity
- Market outlook
- Syndicate strategies adopted by banks
- Long-term growth prospects
- Is Islamic syndication a value proposition?
- The key challenge: liquidation of syndicated debt
- Syndicated financing bookrunner/lead arranger league tables
Section 3: Islamic asset management
Chapter 10 Islamic asset management – challenges and opportunities
By Dr. Nikan Firoozye, Director, Shariah Structuring, and Bernardo Vizcaino, Managing Director, Amsar Partners LLP, with Dr. Sayd Farook
- Introduction
- Industry landscape
- The seven bad habits of Islamic funds
- Comfort zones
- Beta in a box
- Headless chickens
- Re-repackaging
- One size fits all
- Off limits to offshore
- Distribution dreamland
- Growth and drivers
- Takaful
- Sukuk
- Microfinance
- Fund of funds
- Is Islamic finance acyclical or counter-cyclical?
- CPPI and variant structures
- Challenges
- Distribution networks
- Industry analysis and research
- SSB set-up costs
- Shari’a risk - the elephant in the room
- Opportunities
- The dichotomy of alpha and beta
- Product range
- Untapped markets
- Structured products
- Products with no specific view
- CPPI product
- Weak view structures
- Conclusion
Chapter 11 Viewpoint: future directions for Islamic asset management
- Sukuk leads the way
- Creating a product suite
- Irrational behaviour of Gulf investors
- Short-term preferences of Shari’a-sensitive investors
Chapter 12 Alternative investment strategies and hedge funds
- Shari’a-compliant hedge funds
- Opportunities in the Islamic hedge fund space
- A cautious note on short selling
- Shari’a-compliant shorting structures
- Salam-based shorting
- Arboun-based shorting
- Wa’d-based shorting
Section 4: Islamic private equity
Chapter 13 Growth strategies for Islamic private equity
- Private equity development issues
- Lack of experience
- Real estate concentration
- High cost structure
- The influence of the Wastah
- Corporate governance issues
- Lack of public market exit options
- Changing investment strategies
- Portfolio strategy
- Effect of the financial crisis
- Securitising investment portfolios
- Investing in sector-specific asset classes
- Lack of institutional investors
Chapter 14 Islamic structures in private equity: a global reflection
By Tamar Nazih Makary, Head of Middle East Investment Banking, Business Development Asia LLC
- Common levels of compliance required
- China
- South East Asia
- India
- The West
- Conclusion
Section 5: Islamic derivatives
Chapter 15 Shari’a-compliant derivative equivalents
- Underlying rationale
- Conventional derivatives and Shari’a compliance
- Development of derivative equivalents
- Wa’d and its application in forward contracts
- Wa’d in structured notes
- Profit rate swaps
Chapter 16 Balancing Shari’a and commercial law
By Gohar Bilal, executive director, Head of Islamic finance, BNP Paribas Najmah and Alumni-Visiting Scholar of the Harvard Law School, Islamic Legal Studies Program
- Acceptability to Shari’a scholars
- The role of Shari’a advisory boards
- Development of standardised documentation and transparency
- The role of the ISDA
- Force majeure
- Set-off and netting payments
- Calculating early termination payments
- Legal systems and enforceability
- Internal procedures and processes
- Purpose and motivation
- Conclusion
Chapter 17 Key developments in documentation standardisation
- The IIFM-ISDA Tahawut Master Agreement
- Achieving Shari’a compliance
- Certainty of governing law
- Transparent netting arrangements
- Defined early termination provisions
- The context of reducing ambiguity
- Opportunities for further standardisation
Chapter 18 Options contracts in Islamic finance
- Arboun contracts
- Case study: Exchange traded arboun
- Shari’a-compliant put options
- Commodity futures in a regulated exchange environment
Chapter 19 Credit default protection: the next frontier
- CDP contract parameters
- First degree of separation from assets
- Sale of a financial right
- Fee for guarantee
- Why CDP is more legitimate than the profit rate swap
- Proposed CDP structure
- Limited applications of CDP
- Bilateral arrangements: an immediate solution for CDP
- Limitations on the growth of the CDP product market
Section 6: Islamic treasury and interbank markets
Chapter 20 Islamic treasury and interbank overview
- Background
- Challenges
- Liquidity issues
- Lack of Shari’a-compliant assets
- Solutions and opportunities
- Overview
- Murabaha and the International Council of Figh Academy
- Growth of commodity murabaha
- Salam-based liquidity management
- The AAOIFI Shari’a Standard No. 30 on Monetisation
Chapter 22 Other liquidity management instruments
- Wakala
- Seniority status and default
- Mudaraba certificates
- Ijarah or leased asset-backed liquidity programmes
- The use of REITs
- Real estate-based liquidity fund
- Equity investment with the security of a purchase undertaking
- Sukuk /Islamic certificates
Chapter 23 Islamic repos: how far have we progressed?
- Overview
- Malaysia’s repo arrangement
- Other repo equivalents
- The CBB ILSI – a real Islamic repo?
- Collateralised murabaha – an alternative to the classic repo?
- The IIFM collateralised murabaha liquidity facility
Chapter 24 The ongoing search for liquidity
- Central Bank of Bahrain’s ijarah and salam sukuk programme
- Shari’a-compliant Overnight Fund
- LMC’s Short-term Sukuk Programme
- ABC Islamic Bank’s product
- Credit Suisse Prime Shari’ah Solution
- The Gate from Global Commodity Finance Ltd
Section 7: Islamic banking data
Table 1: All banks summary data
Table 2: Top 50 banks by total assets, 2008 (US$m)
Table 3: Investment banks by ROAE, 2008, 2007 (%)
Table 4: Private equity banks by ROAE, 2008, 2007 (%)
Table 5: Universal banks by ROAA, 2008, 2007 (%)
Table 6: Top 20 commercial banks by ROAA, 2008, 2007 (%)
Table 7: Top 5 Bahrain banks ranked by assets, 2008
Table 8: Top 5 Kuwait banks ranked by assets, 2008
Table 9: Top 3 Saudi banks ranked by assets, 2008
Table 10: Top 5 Qatar banks ranked by assets, 2008
Table 11: Top 5 UAE banks ranked by assets, 2008
Table 12: Top 5 Malaysia banks ranked by assets, 2008
Table 13: All CI rated banks, 2009
Table 14: Islamic syndicated loans, 2004-09
Table 15: Islamic sukuk, 2004-09
Appendix 1 Market practice in Shari’a compliance
- General guidelines for Shari’a-compliant equities selection
- Financial ratios
- Impermissible leverage or lending ratios
- Tradability ratios
- Impermissible income ratio
Appendix 2 Sukuk types and risk
Appendix 3 Milestones in the rise of Islamic finance
Appendix 4 Glossary
List of tables and figures
Table ES1: Average asset growth and penetration, 2001–07 (%)
Table ES2: Average deposit growth and penetration, 2001–07 (%)
Table 1.1: Individual market values and market potential ratings, 2007, 2013 (e) (US$bn)
Table 2.1: Total actual and projected sukuk issuance, 2005–13 e) (US$m)
Table 6.1: Correlation between benchmark deposit rates and ROIAH for Islamic banks, 1995–2005
Table 6.2: Mean asset spread (difference between ROIAH and ROA) for Islamic banks, 1995–2005
Table 7.1: Typical risks associated with different types of sukuk classification
Table 8.1: Confirmed sukuk defaults, 2008–09
Table 8.2: Sukuk structures and their potential for originators
Table 8.3: Top 20 global sukuk bookrunners, 2002–09 (US$m)
Table 8.4: Top 20 global sukuk lead arrangers, 2002–09 (US$m)
Table 9.1: GCC syndicated financing, 2009
Table 9.2: Top syndicated lending bookrunners, 2002–09 (US$m)
Table 9.3: Top syndicated lending deal arrangers, 2002–09 (US$m)
Table 15.1: Development of conventional vs. Islamic derivatives
Table 16.1: Summary of Islamic jurisprudence and prevailing law
Table 24.1: Islamic liquidity instruments (excluding Malaysia)
Figure 1.1: HNW and UHNW: Islamic fund distribution by size of funds, end-2008 (%)
Figure 1.2: Mass affluent: Islamic fund distribution by number and size of funds, end-2008 (%)
Figure 1.3: Financial assets held by HNW, UHNW and mass affluent segments, 2005–13 (f) (US$bn)
Figure 1.4: Global Muslim population distribution by country (m)
Figure 1.5: Relative average asset growth by country, 2001–07 (%)
Figure 1.6: Islamic banking penetration by country, 2008 (%)
Figure 1.7: Current and forecast market penetration rates for Islamic banking
Figure 2.1: Islamic and conventional syndicated financing totals, 2002–09 (US$bn)
Figure 2.2: Cumulative Islamic and conventional syndicated financing by country, 2002–09 (US$bn)
Figure 2.3: Cumulative Islamic syndicated financing distribution by country, 2002–09 (%)
Figure 2.4: Average oil prices, 2001–11 (e) (US$/bbl)
Figure 2.5: Syndicated financing volumes for countries with Islamic finance presence, 2002–12 (e) (US$m)
Figure 2.6: Sukuk issuance growth, 2005–13 (e) (US$m)
Figure 3.1: Interbank ratio for Islamic and conventional banks in countries with Islamic finance presence and comparative sample of banks in the UK, 2001–08
Figure 3.2: Net financing/depositor and short-term funding, 2001–08
Figure 3.3: Liquid assets/deposits and short-term funding, 2001–08
Figure 3.4: Growth rates of external positions (assets) of banks, 1999–2008 (%)
Figure 3.5: Growth rates of external positions (liabilities) of banks, 1999–2008 (%)
Figure 3.6: External positions of banks in countries with Islamic finance presence, 1977–2008 (US$bn)
Figure 3.7: Forecast of external positions of banks in countries with Islamic finance presence to 2013 (US$bn)
Figure 3.8: Corporate sukuk, actual and desired levels, GCC and Malaysia, 2008 (%)
Figure 3.9: One year or less instruments, actual and desired levels, 2008 (%)
Figure 4.1: Key factors in easing sell-side bottlenecks
Figure 6.1: Balance sheet structure of an aggregate of 92 Islamic banks, 2008
Figure 6.2: Balance sheet structure of 267 conventional banks in countries where Islamic banks operate, 2009
Figure 7.1: Total sukuk issuance by country, Q3 2009 (%)
Figure 7.2: Total sukuk issuance and concentration by country, 2005–Q309 (US$m)
Figure 7.3: Total issuance by type of entity, Q309 (%)
Figure 7.4: Total issuance by currency (US$ and local), 2006–Q309 (US$m)
Figure 7.5: Total number of issuances by region, 2006–Q309
Figure 7.6: Illustration of a typical asset-based ijarah structure
Figure 7.7: Illustration of a typical project- backed musharaka structure
Figure 8.1: Nakheel sukuk asset transfer structure
Figure 8.2: Nakheel sukuk asset security package
Figure 8.3: Nakheel sukuk main transaction agreements
Figure 8.4: East Cameron gas sukuk structure summarised
Figure 9.1: Typical arrangement of an Islamic syndicated financing deal
Figure 9.2: Islamic and conventional syndicated financing, 2002-H109 (US$bn)
Figure 9.3: GCC syndicated financing market, 2004–08 (US$m)
Figure 9.4: Sources of liquidity by region, 2005–08 (US$m)
Figure 9.5: Islamic syndicated financing by country, 2002–H109 (US$m)
Figure 10.1: Islamic funds by domicile, Jan 2009 (%)
Figure 10.2: Islamic funds by geographic mandate, Jan 2009 (%)
Figure 10.3: Islamic funds by asset size, Jan 2009 (US$m)
Figure 10.4: All Islamic funds new launches and total universe, 2000–08
Figure 10.5: Product evolution
Figure 10.6: Islamic funds asset class mix, end-2008 (%)
Figure 11.1: Investor risk/return profiles and investment objectives
Figure 12.1: Islamic hedge fund and fund of funds market, 2005¬–10 (US$bn)
Figure 12.2: Salam-based shorting structure
Figure 12.3: Arboun-based shorting structure
Figure 13.1: Average non-interest expense/operating income for Middle East investment banks, 2004–07 (% of total assets)
Figure 13.2: Average non-interest expense/total assets for Middle East investment banks, 2004–08 (% of total assets)
Figure 13.3: Creating investment funds for specific asset classes
Figure 13.4: Average ROAA, 2004–08, Islamic and conventional investment banks (%)
Figure 13.5: Average ROAE, 2004–08, Islamic and conventional investment banks (%)
Figure 13.6: Average cost to income ratio, 2004–08 (%)
Figure 13.7: Average recurring earning power, 2004–08 (%)
Figure 13.8: Non-interest expense/average assets, 2004–08 (%)
Figure 15.1: Value of conventional derivatives, 1987–H208 (US$trn)
Figure 15.2: Shari'a-compliant derivative equivalents
Figure 15.3: Bilateral wa'd based FX option
Figure 15.4: The Deutsche Bank Al Miyar structure
Figure 15.5: Murabaha-based Islamic profit rate swap structure
Figure 15.6: Wa'd-based Islamic profit rate swap structure
Figure 18.1: Shari’a-compliant mechanisms for forward price fixing
Figure 18.2: Structure of an exchange traded arboun
Figure 18.3: Structure of a Shari’s-compliant put option
Figure 18.4: Structure of a Shari’a-compliant commodity futures transaction
Figure 19.1: Structure of a takaful offering CDP
Figure 20.1: Development of Islamic treasury products
Figure 21.1: Structure of permissible organised murabaha/tawarruq
Figure 21.2: Structure of impermissible organised murabaha/tawarruq
Figure 21.3: Salam interbank financing alternative
Figure 22.1: Ijarah-based liquidity management programme structure
Figure 23.1: ISLI structure
Figure 23.2: Structure of the IIFM collateralised murabaha liquidity facility
Figure 24.1: Oversubscription levels of CBB liquidity treasury bills and sukuk
Figure 24.2: Structure of the LMC STS